Tag Archive | "Russia"

The Brady Report – Nuclear Options


atomic-blast-imagesThe last two weeks have been have been extremely busy for the Obama Administration, especially with regards to nuclear technology:  a nuclear arms agreement with Russia, an updated Nuclear Posture Review, and an international nuclear summit in Washington D.C. have all been the focus of America’s capital.  On each of these events, all overwhelmingly positive, there has been nitpicking criticism from each side of the rhetorical divide, even from laughably uneducated individuals.  The truth, however, is that the new policies on nuclear weapons for America is a major step forward, especially given the growing worldwide appreciation for such efforts by President Obama.

The treaty with Russia is, essentially, an agreement to reduce nuclear arsenals and place a cap on each country’s deployable tactical nukes.  While this treaty, not yet ratified by Congress, will not result in drastic nuclear changes, it points to a more friendly nuclear future between Russia and the United States, with an eye toward eventually reducing each country’s ability to bring about a worldwide apocalypse to more reasonable numbers.  After the international relations disaster that was George W. Bush, it’s astounding that Russian President Medvedev is still willing to speak with American powers, let alone produce a marked effort in US-Russia relations, achieving what should have been accomplished much sooner than today’s decades after the end of the Cold War.

Similarly, the Nuclear Posture Review reforms America’s nuclear weapons policy to show a better face to the world and, perhaps, be less of an international bully.  Statements throughout the NPR indicate that nuclear weapons will not be used as a “first strike” tactic, and that nations compliant with the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, and those considered non-nuclear, need not fear the threat of nuclear attack from the United States.  Importantly, however, nuclear weaponry may be used against nations that use chemical or biological weapons, or pose a direct, significant threat to America and its allies, leaving room for an appropriate use of these weapons.  While there is much more to the NPR, including changes in the research, development, and maintenance of nuclear weaponry, the point of this document is largely twofold:  expressing the U.S.’ disinterest in bombing nations with nuclear weapons at a whim, and declaring the danger Iran, North Korea, and other similar nations currently find themselves in.  Contained within this document are many veiled threats to nations that are currently, and illegally, pursuing nuclear weaponry, overtly warning them of the potential results of their actions.

The international nuclear summit addresses nuclear materials in general, with close to fifty countries promising more secure environments for these materials, no matter their form or state, in an attempt to prevent them from being usurped for terrorist purposes – terrorists who have no nation and no treaties.  In addition to a general consensus that the security of nuclear materials is extremely important, the largest gathering of international leaders since FDR created the United Nations has taken the time to not only increase funding to the IAEA but to also condemn the actions of nuclear rogue nations, specifically Iran and North Korea.  Some nations, such as the Ukraine, have even agreed to give up their fissile material, entirely, to nations deemed more secure and responsible.

Criticisms, on both sides, fail to see the importance of this confluence of events:  nuclear weapons are finally being given the official respect they’ve long since deserved.  The current number of deployable nuclear weapons is more than enough to destroy the planet many times over, which is a far cry from their existential excuse of “nuclear deterrence”.  More importantly, nuclear weapons no longer play a large role in the overall deterrence of warfare, since there are far more tactically precise and efficient methods of convincing, via force, one nation of another’s superiority; the most pressing issue of the modern era, multi-faceted terrorism, is not an issue that can be bombarded with nuclear weapons.  True, the last few weeks do not reduce the stockpile of any major country to zero, but that is an impossible dream – a slow step-down is required, lest the situation be taken advantage of.  Also true is that these actions will have an effect on the American military industrial complex, but this is simply not be a reason to condemn an overall intelligent approach to international policy.

What detractors, of all kinds, need to understand is that this is simply the first step in a long process that has been decades in the making.  Change does not occur overnight, especially in the international arena, and time will tell whether these initial forays into a non-nuclear world will be as successful as their potential indicates.  Furthermore, a small reduction in a nuclear arsenal that numbers in the thousands is, quite honestly, of no military consequence – it is a far more symbolic action than anything else.  The actions taken by President Obama do not weaken the United States or its allies; in fact, it has visibly strengthened relations between America and the international community, a much-needed notch on the nation’s belt of worldwide confidence.

Welcome to a post-nuclear world.

From Kyle Brady…

Kyle can be found on his blog, on Facebook, via email, or on Twitter.

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From Kiev with Love


Kiev-BotanicalGarden-1280

Ukraine is a country that long suffered under the boot of oppression. Under the Soviet regime, millions were killed in Stalin’s Famine Genocide and those who survived were threatened with death for as little as speaking their own language. But throughout their long history Ukrainians have always been resilient  and no matter what they had to endure, their thirst for freedom never wavered. In 1991, Ukraine at last became an independent nation with a stready stream of growing pains ever since. Even today, old scars remain and bad blood will still bubble up when one least expects it - even in the the back of a taxi.  Special guest Veronica Khokhlova comes to us from the beautiful city of Kiev, taking RELATVITY OnLine behind the former Iron Curtain to reveal a fresh slice of new millenium Eastern European pie.

I know a person here in Moscow who, while having a casual conversation, always pauses before saying the word ‘Ukrainians’ – and never says it. He says the word ‘khokhly” instead, always. He once asked me why ‘khokhly’ are getting so emotional about being called ‘khokhly.’ I had a question of my own instead of an answer: what is it that makes an otherwise normal, educated person, who’s wasted half his life voting for Yavlinsky’s Yabloko and cursing Putin, substitute a totally legit word for the one that, as he himself admits, is making somebody nervous? How does his mind work? I can’t imagine myself substituting the word ‘Russians’ for ‘katsapy’ every time I talk to a Russian, I told this guy. Let me try, though, I added.

And then I spent five minutes or so pausing and saying ‘katsapy’ instead of ‘Russians’ whenever that word came up. It wasn’t a fun exercise. I felt like shit. And the guy grew visibly uncomfortable in those five minutes or so, too, which was kind of funny. He didn’t admit feeling uncomfortable, though, and moved on to another subject instead: the origin of the word ‘Ukraine’ – okraina, outskirts, borderland and all that, the usual crap. I told him I had better things to do than having a discussion on this subject and left. I haven’t spoken to him ever since. He admitted being a senile ass to another person right away, apologized through that other person, which was somewhat poignant, but I really do have better things to occupy myself with than having those silly conversations with him ever again.

Writing about Putin’s sense of humor isn’t one of those ‘better’ things, and I thought one tweet about it would be enough: “Putin trying to impress Tymoshenko with his cab driver sense of humor (RUS) http://bit.ly/53JbUe.”

But then a former colleague posted a response on my Facebook page today, which made me realize that my description of Putin’s sense of humor was a bit misleading – and offensive towards cab drivers. Basically, there are too many cab drivers who are way cooler than Putin, even though he once considered becoming one, and it’s unfair and rude to generalize like this; my sincere apologies to cab drivers.

I was again forced to dodge the guy obsessed with the ‘khokhly’ word – our paths do cross every now and then – and it got me thinking in analogies again. What if Yulia had followed up on Putin’s jokes about Yushchenko and Saakashvili with a bunch of her own – say, about Moscow mayor Yuri Luzhkov, his ridiculous leather caps and his inane attempts to do geopolitics stuff in Crimea instead of just keeping Moscow clean and happy. Like Putin’s jokes, that wouldn’t have sounded funny, and Yulia is a good girl, too, so she just giggled along with everyone else and played the femininity card, making one awkward joke of her own, about not wearing a tie – unlike Saakashvili. Would have been counterproductive of her, of course, to ruin that lovely endorsement that she’d just received from her Russian colleague.

Speaking of Yulia, Putin and Luzhkov, I’ve recently stumbled on an item(RUS) about Konstantin Korolevsky, the brother of one of Yulia’s most prominent teammates, Natalya Korolevskaya (I wrote briefly about the two of them at the end of this lengthy post).This guy used to be the first deputy head of the department of urban construction policy, development and reconstruction of the city of Moscow, but this past summer he was transferred to Putin’s “government apparatus,” following rumors of Luzhkov’s displeasure at the results of Korolevsky’s work and some allegations of major corruption. So who knows, maybe Yulia and Putin are cracking jokes about Luzhkov during their private meetings. Because, all things considered, it’s hard to imagine the two of them discussing Anton Pavlovich Chekhov: Putin must have been joking when he said they would.

Our foreign affairs ministry, via the deputy foreign minister, announced that the joking episode had been taken out of context by some media and politicians, and that the Tymoshenko-Putin meeting had been quite productive at many levels. Among other things, what really hurts here is the fact that Yulia and the current foreign affairs minister Petro Poroshenko appear to have finally made it up, just in time for the 2010 election. Had they not been fighting ever since Yushchenko’s 2004 victory, causing the mess of Sept. 2005,who knows, maybe Ukraine wouldn’t have ranked #146 (out of 180) on Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index now. This, of course, isn’t exclusively their fault, and Russia, too, is #146, while Georgia, led by the butt of Putin’s jokes, Saakashvili, since 2003, is currently at #66, but still.

Another reason why I decided to apologize to cab drivers is because of a guy who drove me home today. An ethnic Georgian, born and raised in Moscow, with family in Batumi, he was telling me of how much things have changed in Georgia in the past few years. It used to take months to get through bureaucracy while getting registered as the owner of real estate, and now you can have it all done in a single day, without running around from one office to another, bribing everyone along the way – now you just submit all the paperwork at one office, and they don’t even want to take a box of candies from the grateful you. Traffic cops are not taking bribes, either – they are not stopping cars indiscriminately in order to demand a bribe. In the Soviet times, he said, Georgia was considered to be the most corrupt republic, and people used to think that it was impossible to change anything, took corruption for granted, but it turns out that if the authorities start doing something to stop corruption, things do change for the better eventually. Funny, but we didn’t really mention Saakashvili in the course of this conversation – but, obviously, much if not all of the credit went to him.

We didn’t mention the Putin-Tymoshenko joking episode, either, and we didn’t have the time to discuss the Aug. 2008 war. And, at one point, the guy said he was a “pro-Russian person” – because he grew up here and cared about things – and, at another point, he said that he liked Yushchenko, but thought that, unfortunately, he was a weak leader. He also told me of how he had lost his driver’s license once and then drove some 400 km across Georgia, and the police didn’t stop him once – because he didn’t violate any traffic rules, he said. To all this, part of me wants to say, Go figure, and another part of me thinks that it all makes perfect sense. Life, after all, is a crazy mess, full of contradictions and halftones.

 

Veronica Khokhlova is a Kiev native and has been a blogger since 2005 and can be found on her blog, Global Voices, Flickr and Twitter.  

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